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General Dynamics: Record Backlog and Cash Engine Power a Beat

Q2 2026: Aerospace orders surge, Marine productivity improves, and FCF conversion tops 150%
GD · Earnings Call · 2026-07-29
General Dynamics delivered a second-quarter 2026 that its own CEO called “even better in almost all respects.” “This quarter is even better in almost all respects.” — Phebe Novakovic, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · 2026-07-29 The company beat consensus by $0.28, with revenue up 8.1% to $14.1 billion, operating earnings up 11.9%, and operating margin expanding 40 basis points to 10.4%. The beat was broad-based, but the standout was the cash machine and the record backlog, which now sits at $136.5 billion, up 32% year-over-year. The cash performance was extraordinary. Free cash flow conversion for the half was north of 150%, and management raised the full-year conversion target to ~105% of net income. CFO Kim Kuryea highlighted, “We generated $1.9 billion of operating cash flow, which when combined with the strong $2.2 billion from the first quarter, yields over $4 billion of operating cash flow in the first half of the year.” — Kimberly Kuryea, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-07-29 This cash is being deployed into capex (up nearly 30% in the first half), a $500 million pension contribution, and debt reduction, with net debt down to $3.2 billion. The release of working capital is a direct result of supply chain stabilization, a theme that has been recurring in prior calls but is now translating into results. The trailing free cash flow margin is now 14.2%, up from a low single-digit level a year ago. Aerospace was a primary driver. Revenue rose 15.1% to $3.5 billion, and the segment posted a 14.5% operating margin, up 130 basis points. Book-to-bill was 1.5x, the strongest first half for orders since 2022, with demand across the entire Gulfstream product line. Phebe Novakovic noted, “The book-to-bill over the trailing 12 months is 1.3x. So we see very active interest across all models in the U.S. and Asia, with some cautious concern from customers in the Middle East, but they're still active in the pipeline.” — Phebe Novakovic, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · 2026-07-29 The cabin family is expanding, and the company is preparing for the G300/G400 transition, with a planned production break after the G280 final delivery next year. Combat Systems also had a standout order quarter, with a 2.1x book-to-bill. The demand is driven by international customers and munitions. Management sees Land Systems transitioning to next-generation platforms while European and munitions growth remains robust. The learning curve dynamic also benefits Marine Systems, where revenue grew 10.4% and margins improved 40 basis points. The shipyards are executing better, and the supply chain cadence is improving, as Danny Deep noted earlier this year: “I would say, broadly speaking, as it relates to the supply chain for the whole Marine Group, we have seen an increased cadence on time, deliveries are up.” — Danny Deep, Interim CEO / President (acting as CEO for the call) · 2026-04-29 That trend has continued, and the pending Virginia Block VI and Columbia contracts could add further fuel.

This is the segment, given its backlog and improving productivity, where we can accelerate value for our shareholders as we accelerate delivery of submarines, surface combatants and auxiliary ships.

Danny Deep, Executive Vice President, Aerospace (Gulfstream) · 2026-07-29
The Technologies segment grew 4.1%, with Mission Systems leading and GDIT winning more OTAs under agile contracting. The international portfolio at Mission Systems is up more than 35% since 2024. GDIT's AI investments are paying off, and the company's pipeline remains robust. The company is also benefiting from the administration's push for fixed-price contracting, which management welcomes. The company raised full-year guidance to $16.80-16.90 EPS, revenue ~$55.7B, and operating margin 10.5%. The backlog is a record, and the budget environment is supportive, with the administration pushing for increased weapons production. As Phebe put it in a prior call, “We believe there's margin improvement, headroom at Gulfstream, and we'll continue to pursue that.” — Phebe Novakovic, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · 2026-01-28 That headroom is becoming visible in the numbers. The stock is trading near all-time highs, up ~11% over the past 90 days, yet the forward P/E sits at just ~20x, offering room for further upside if the company can keep executing. The key near-term catalyst is the award of the submarine contracts, which management expects soon. As Ron Epstein asked earlier, the Street is waiting, but the company is confident.