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Gold, oil and a $43M balance-sheet pillow

U.S. Global Investors reported a small profit and stepped up buybacks, but the real story is net cash alone covers the depressed micro-cap equity value.
GROW · Earnings Call · 2026-09-04

Fiscal 2026: A thematic shop with a treasury-style cushion

U.S. Global Investors is not trying to sound like a conventional asset manager. The earnings call opens with a walk through the DNA of volatility, and CEO Frank Holmes keeps returning to GOAU and JETS as stand-ins for physical gold and global travel. "When I look at GOAU, which relates to gold, we can see that GOAU goes up or down 3% in a day is a non-event, because gold, it tracks gold 95% of the time," he says, explaining why his own company stock can swing hard when gold and airline proxies do.

When I look at GOAU, which relates to gold, we can see that GOAU goes up or down 3% in a day is a non-event, because gold, it tracks gold 95% of the time.

Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer · 2026-09-04
That volatility is more than a talking point. During its fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, the company reported average assets under management of $1.53 billion, operating revenues of $10.3 million, and a swing back to net profit. CFO Lisa Callicotte stressed the recovery: “Net income after taxes was $3.1 million or $0.24 per share, which was a favorable change of $3.4 million compared to the loss of $334,000 or $0.03 per share in FY 2025.” — Lisa Callicotte, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-04But the shape of that profit deserves attention. Advisory revenue from its gold and natural-resource funds rose 21%, yet operating expenses still left an operating loss of $603K. The actual black-ink result came from "other income" of $4.5 million, driven largely by unrealized gains on investments. In other words, the balance sheet and the ETF holdings inside the funds are doing as much as the fee engine is right now.

The keyword pivot: away from AI infrastructure, toward oil and gold

The shift in GROW's own keyword trajectory over the last few quarters is a useful tell. In early 2026 the call spent meaningful time on data centers, AI infrastructure and the defense build-out, linking them to government spending and the new WAR ETF. This report still nods to defense, but its current top keyword stack is much more gold-and-energy heavy: oil patch interest, "triggering people" via deficit spending, and price discovery as a recurring market-primitive theme. The main macro emphasis is now on physical gold reserves, central-bank purchase momentum and U.S. debt dynamics. Holmes even frames gold as a reflex response to Modern Monetary Theory, noting China's surge in official gold purchases and arguing that if Beijing "wants to get caught up with America, I think they have to buy 100% of all the mined production for the next 7 or 8 years." The defense trade has not been abandoned, but it is being re-described as part of a multi-asset "big funnel of money" heading toward NATO re-armament and AI-enabled hardware. “Money being raised, deficit spending triggering people buying gold and triggering people buying anything that has to do with rebuilding NATO with AI,” — Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer · 2026-09-04 he summarized. That is a subtle but real change from the prior quarter's emphasis on fighter aircraft, missile systems and pure infrastructure — and it aligns with the global backdrop of war-in-Iran risk and energy-market headlines.

Why the balance sheet, not the fee trend, moves the story

The historically most interesting part of this update may not be the income statement. Management says it is buying back stock because the market does not seem to be pricing the cash pile. “The company believes the stock is deeply undervalued and therefore buys back shares when the prices flatter down using an algorithm.” — Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer · 2026-09-04 In fiscal 2026 it repurchased 733,848 Class A shares for $2 million, and since just before COVID it has reduced outstanding shares by roughly 20%. Add the unchanged but still meaningful 2.83% monthly dividend yield and management gets to a 7.87% shareholder yield if buybacks continue. Yet the real numerical standout is the asset side. The company reports a net book value of $45.1 million, while its equity market cap today is only about $32.7 million. The effective net cash position, after subtracting debt and adding investments, sits close to $43 million — above the entire stock-market value. Even if one haircuts the cash held inside managed funds, this is an unusually stark balance-sheet arbitrage for a listed investment adviser. With liabilities to assets at just 6.0% (the latest ratio has come down sharply over two years), the downside risk is modest for a thematic fund family whose underlying portfolios are themselves high beta. The honest caveat is that this cash cushion can shrink if gold or airline ETFs sell off, because GROW invests alongside its own shareholders in those assets. The just-reported quarterly revenue jump may also be flattered by a single strong gold/AUM quarter rather than durable new flows. Still, for a micro-cap with a $32.7M market cap and roughly $1.5 billion in assets under management, the 2026 story is a reminder that sometimes the most memorable number on an earnings call is not revenue growth but the balance-sheet math underneath it.