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Above Nameplate: Tidewater Renewables' Record Quarter Unlocks Deleveraging — and a $1.2B SAF Bet

HDRD throughput hits 111% utilization, a biofuel incentive lands, and the balance sheet finally sits inside target — just as the company prepares to sanction its biggest project.
LCFS.TO · Earnings Call · 2026-08-13

Above nameplate, below leverage: a quarter that changes the script

For two years Tidewater Renewables has been a story about a complex needing to work and a balance sheet needing to heal. In Q2 2026, both happened at once. The HDRD complex hit record average daily throughput of 3.31 thousand barrels per day — a 111% utilization rate — the payoff of what CEO Jeremy Baines called "a number of very low cost debottlenecking initiatives" that finally let the facility run "consistently above nameplate capacity." The reliability mattered because the unit operated into the strongest margin window since commissioning: “the HDRD complex achieved record average daily throughput of 3.31 thousand barrels per day, representing a 111% utilization rate” — Jeremy R. Baines, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) · 2026-08-13 — and, in Baines's words, "realized record margins on the sale of the renewable diesel sold at US import parity pricing." That volume alone would have been impressive, but the company stacked a policy layer on top. The federal biofuel production incentive added $0.16 per liter of margin, contributing $7.7 million of the quarter's adjusted EBITDA. The contribution agreement was executed on July 7, with “We expect to receive both first and second quarter cash contributions totaling $13.8 million during the third quarter” — Jeremy R. Baines, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) · 2026-08-13 — a "consistent boost to cash flow and liquidity," as the prepared remarks put it. Net result: renewable diesel drove a record $56 million of adjusted EBITDA for Tidewater Renewables alone.

The balance sheet finally returns to range

The earnings momentum translated directly into balance-sheet repair. CFO Ian Quartly noted “Tidewater Renewables reported a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.47x at June 30” — Ian Quartly, Investor Relations or Corporate Communications · 2026-08-13, with the consolidated group at 1.7x — back inside its 1.2x–2.5x target band, helped by a $44.4 million consolidated net-debt reduction in the quarter. That debt reduction is the connective tissue to the EBITDA guidance hike: consolidated 2026 guidance rose 20% at the midpoint to $230–250 million, with Renewables now guided to $130–140 million and Midstream to $100–110 million. Quarterly consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $88.9 million was itself a record. The drivers blend company-specific execution with a market-wide tailwind. The sustainable piece: "higher facility utilization, sustained strength in forward market crack spreads, and improved pricing for renewable diesel and emission credits." The cyclical piece: the Prince George crack spread averaged $118 per barrel, up 16% quarter-over-quarter, on the back of the global Middle East conflict disruptions — the same theme that has colored energy calls across the tape this season, and one echoed by recent reporters in the space. Baines was explicit on the macro: roughly 10% of global refining capacity is offline, much of it from "damaged equipment that will take an extended time to repair or rebuild." Management is locking that in — hedging about 50% of 2026 crack spread exposure and layering roughly 40% of 2027 hedges at fixed prices "significantly above both mid cycle pricing and 2026 realized hedge pricing."

The $1.2 billion SAF question

If Q2 settled the "can the base business work" debate, the second half of 2026 is about the next act. The SAF project remains on track for a final investment decision in Q4, contingent on the regulatory environment — specifically targeted amendments to the Clean Fuel Regulations and supporting SAF industry programs. Baines confirmed the scope: “Capital cost is about a $1.2 billion build out... We have got a very detailed and solid Class 3 FEED on that.” — Jeremy R. Baines, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) · 2026-08-13 On funding, management was notably unbothered:

we believe through the Part 3 agreements and cash flow from operations, we have the ability to do this whole SAF project on our own. it is a 3-year build out online in 2030, and we will have a meaningful impact on our cash flows at that time.

The company still expects "the same level of support for that project as we did on the RD plant," plus a potential First Nations partner taking a small stake and other parties expressing interest. Noncore asset sales, meanwhile, remain on track to unlock liquidity. What changed this quarter is the sequencing: record throughput above nameplate, a confirmed policy subsidy, a balance sheet back inside target, and an intact path to the largest capital decision in the company's history. It is, genuinely, the most constructive quarter Tidewater Renewables has reported — and the market now has a clearer line of sight to whether the SAF project makes the next two years as good as this one.