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Luceco's New CEO Inherits an Energy-Transition Flywheel — and Upgrades Guidance on Week Three

A £142.6m half, energy-transition revenue up 119.5%, a recurring-revenue optionality story — and a CEO who hasn't even finished onboarding.
LUCE.L · Earnings Call · 2026-09-22

Luceco: The New Boss, the Same Flywheel, and One Very Quiet Wave

Thorsten Müller started as Luceco's CEO in early September and delivered his first set of interim results barely three weeks later. That is an unusual setup: a brand-new chief executive inheriting a business that is already compounding, and choosing to spend his first public outing reaffirming rather than resetting. The headline numbers did the heavy lifting for him — revenue up 13.4% to GBP 142.6m, adjusted operating profit up 14.5% to GBP 15.8m, return on capital employed up 50bp to 20.5%, and an interim dividend lifted 16.7%.

What makes this more than boilerplate is where the growth came from. “Revenue was up 13.4% to GBP 142.6 million, driven by energy transition, where revenue more than doubled.” — Thorsten Müller, CEO · 2026-09-22 That doubling is not a one-quarter blip — CFO Will Hoy framed the energy transition as the principal growth engine, with activity up 119.5% and the core business adding a steadier 6.5%.

The Wave Nobody Else Is Riding (Yet)

Here is the genuinely interesting part. Scan the market's editor-curated top-75 themes for the last several quarters and you will find them dominated by AI data centers, tariffs, memory pricing, and hurricanes. Energy transition and EV charging barely register at the index level. Yet the tape's battery energy storage system cluster is a 360-day advancer, and peer flow battery name IES.L (vanadium storage, data-center exposure) surfaced in today's reporter cohort alongside Luceco — the two share the electrification DNA but sit in very different corners of it.

So Luceco is riding a wave that the market's headline keywords have not crowded into. That is a contrast worth holding onto: the AI-infrastructure complex is a 30-day decliner across storers, miners and optical names, while Luceco's electrification tilt is accelerating into a guidance upgrade. Different wave, different crowding.

Hardware That Turns Into an Annuity

The most company-unique thread is Demand Flexibility — the recurring revenue Luceco earns from the installed base of connected chargers, essentially paying customers to let the grid shift when their cars charge. “More than 30,000 chargers are currently active in demand flexibility.” — Will Hoy, CFO · 2026-09-22 That reframes a hardware business as a hybrid: sell the box, then monetise the box. Management is candid that the regulatory mechanism is still evolving — changes were phased in during Q3 — but the recurring revenue streams are real, and they compound as the installed base grows.

This is the natural second act of a four-year-old acquisition: SyncEV, bought as a “highly accretive targeted acquisition,” now anchors a portfolio that is adding EV charger higher-power DC products and vehicle to grid capability. The hardware sale is the wedge; the software-and-flexibility layer is the prize.

Where the Signal Gets Sharper — and Where It Doesn't

The Portable Power segment was the standout, adding GBP 12.8m of revenue and GBP 2.3m of profit — the bulk of group profit growth. Wiring accessories grew the top line but lost GBP 0.4m of profit as material-cost increases hit ahead of pricing pass-through. Management expects that to reverse; it deliberately repeats the point, a tell that it is the soft spot in an otherwise clean half. Note the echo with fellow reporter MillerKnoll's tariff refunds and “pricing action” language — input-cost timing and repricing is a shared, cross-company friction this quarter, not a Luceco-specific defect.

The cash-flow picture is the other nuance. Adjusted free cash flow swung to a GBP 2.1m outflow from a GBP 10.3m inflow, with GBP 10.1m of working capital consumed on a deliberate stock build ahead of the second half. Inventory days ticked to 145 from 136. That is a bet on H2 seasonality, and “We expect the usual stronger second half cash generation, though lower than 2025 due to timing of accounts receivable collection.” — Will Hoy, CFO · 2026-09-22 Leverage at 1.5x, with GBP 44.4m undrawn and facilities maturing 2029, keeps the capital allocation policy — bolt-on M&A and an upgraded interim dividend — firmly intact.

The group continues to experience strong demand across key product categories, channels, and territories, with revenue in our core business growing 6.5% in the first half of the year... We therefore expect that our adjusted operating profit will be ahead of market expectations.

Thorsten Müller, CEO · 2026-09-22

That line — profit ahead of market expectations — is the one that matters. Consensus had pointed to roughly GBP 41m of adjusted operating profit for 2026; the upgrade lands on week three of a brand-new CEO's tenure, which is a confident thing to do before you have even published your strategic review.

The Watch Items

Müller's framing of his initial priorities — “focus and stringent capital allocation,” process excellence, and a lean, decentralized structure — is deliberately unglamorous, which is appropriate for a manager who does not yet own the strategy. The real read comes in March. Two things to watch before then: whether the Wiring Accessories margin genuinely reverses as pricing catches up, and whether the Dubai operation's warning about delayed investment projects bites the H2 order book in the region.

For a roughly £400m-market-cap industrials name, the combination is rare: a fresh CEO, an accelerating structural tailwind the market isn't broadly keyword-crowded into, and a profit guide above consensus — all delivered with a hardware-to-recurring-revenue seam that most electrical-equipment peers lack. The flywheel is turning; the question is whether the new hand on the wheel accelerates it or merely steadies it.